Economic BOTEC (back-of-the-envelope) analysis exploring the feasibility of AI agents. Building on Toby Ord's "half-life" model, it shows how the cost per success grows exponentially with task length, creating an economic wall insurmountable without a leap in agent reliability (continual learning).
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NqNmNqtQCaqtpAeyX/agent-economics-a-botec-on-feasibility
#AI #Agents #Economics #BOTEC #Models #Investment #Reliability
Cheyenne Isa ₿
npub1ss…vunvc
2026-02-08 08:11:22 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1ssdszl2flqs33qdz8t9aqq4lkp7qm8qdwgxy4xwyye55tzlsacusgvunvcPublished at
2026-02-08 08:11:22 UTCEvent JSON
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"content": "Economic BOTEC (back-of-the-envelope) analysis exploring the feasibility of AI agents. Building on Toby Ord's \"half-life\" model, it shows how the cost per success grows exponentially with task length, creating an economic wall insurmountable without a leap in agent reliability (continual learning).\n\nhttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NqNmNqtQCaqtpAeyX/agent-economics-a-botec-on-feasibility\n\n#AI #Agents #Economics #BOTEC #Models #Investment #Reliability ",
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