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I reserve the right to change my mind.

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nprofile1qqsxt49w57tkuc60nqlrm5h30fchymszxf5l4fmqthtkjxua5ejjyucpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzv9hxgqg5waehxw309aex2mrp0yhxgctdw4eju6t0qyv8wumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnndehhyapwwdhkx6tpdsqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dsqs7amnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wd4hk6qguwaehxw309ahx7um5wghxy6t5vdhkjmn9wgh8xmmrd9skc73m74c

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nostr.bitcoiner.social

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Last Notes

2026-02-11 19:02:37 UTC

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#nevent1q…zk7s

2026-02-11 19:02:11 UTC

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#nevent1q…zk7s

2026-02-11 19:01:12 UTC

Why quantum computing is Not a threat to bitcoin:
Historically, hundreds of computing systems have been proposed or built:
Mechanical
Analog electrical
Optical / wave-based
Magnetic / spin-based
Chemical
Biological (DNA, wetware)
Neuromorphic
Quantum
Fluidic
Other than digital they share the same issue scaling/error correction:
Error increases with size
Noise accumulates
Physical coupling worsens
Precision degrades
Continuous physics compounds instability.
As digital systems scale, errors can decrease rather than increase. Digital computing is the only architecture so far proven to do this.
With every quantum computing "success".. The quantum system increasingly resembles a classical digital computer, taking on aspects of the digital computer to achieve a new "groundbreaking result".
Including google new headlines.
Hundreds of computing paradigms exist.
Only digital computation has demonstrated sustained error suppression with scale.
Quantum computing’s progress reinforces this rather than contradicting it.
You can imagine it as an, inverse 3D bell curve. The most stable position is the base, which represents digital computers. All other forms exist at some non-scalable higher point. If you want any of them to scale, the process will eventually push it into the base—digital computing.
#ideas #Quantum

2026-02-11 18:02:07 UTC

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Hundreds of computing paradigms exist.
Only digital computation has demonstrated error suppression with scale.
Quantum computing’s progress reinforces this rather than contradicting it.
With every quantum computing success they resemble digital computation. Eventually all that will be left it's digital compute.

2026-02-11 17:08:44 UTC

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Maybe it's the optimal shape. The shape which uses the least energy for maximum reward stretch that over time it will be the only one used.

2026-02-11 16:38:56 UTC

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All evidence is pointing towards zero risk. Any successful step quantum computing moves it one step closer to digital compute.

2026-02-11 15:11:19 UTC

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Also if a unnecessary regulation forces you to spend money or time to achieve some goal, could this not be considered a tax?

2026-02-11 15:06:09 UTC

Do ai agents running choosing to run economic nodes pose a threat to bitcoin?
Are the incentives different for ai agents vs human when operating a node?
Could ai agents collectively hallucinate? Choosing to operate malicious short term oriented nodes?
#asknostr

2026-02-11 12:47:54 UTC

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Plus the inflation tax

2026-02-11 12:17:06 UTC

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I'm glad you cover french news, I believe france as a disproportionate role in how things will play out. Each culture/demographic has a particular way for dealing with stress,1789, but has the population changed enough to prevent this, judging by the farmers definitely not.
The french cash cow colonial days coming to an end in africa and within the european union.
Some other negative:
Extreme over regulation
Government expansion
The public debt
Unfunded liabilities
Demographics
Trade pressures
Loss of african revenue
Youth hopelessness
Oversized rent seeking class
Degradation of food quality
Incoming poor health epidemic
many more..
The positive:
Energy production
Agriculture
"French version" of entrepreneurial spirit but these could be lost within 15 years of continued fait decay.

2026-02-10 18:54:55 UTC

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The prerequisite to civilization at scale is money.
Without money civilization is cognitively capped to 150.
If they social animal develops money civilization could follow.
What about the insect colonies would they not be considered a civilization? Why are there are no ants on nostr?....
Then civilization could be defined as: A social system which optimizes for prosperity of the individual.
Inset colonies maximize for the prosperity of the collective..... Socialism, Communism, Fascism, but they also maximize for the collective,.... they must be anti civilizational.
Yes

2026-02-10 16:00:45 UTC

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If every centralized platform goes the same route, it acts as a big filter selecting for people who would resist overreach, pushing us into nostr. I hope it's not a trap or some kind of incoming rugpull.

2026-02-10 15:47:53 UTC

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Individuals organize over discord to replace government... Few minutes later, operation protect the children

2026-02-10 15:28:35 UTC

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You mean direct on chain?

2026-02-10 15:21:47 UTC

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If this was the bottom then september 2 the top? Bip110. Better if it marked the bottom.

2026-02-10 15:13:29 UTC

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The united kingdom hoping the us will save them? From themselves?

2026-02-10 12:38:36 UTC

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Individuals organize over discord to replace government... Few minutes later, operation protect the children

2026-02-10 11:35:16 UTC

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Stop trying to get a free trip to space or free boat ride to the "edge".

2026-02-10 11:28:32 UTC

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And we will all be better for it.

2026-02-09 21:21:33 UTC

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This is not localized it relieves pressure everywhere.

2026-02-09 19:40:50 UTC

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#nevent1q…ca2n

2026-02-09 17:57:28 UTC

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I think simple measure of energy consumption represents a better proxy for revenue, explicitly if mining becomes more decentralized. Profitability and electricity consumption are closely linked and measuring in USD, they are not.

2026-02-09 13:17:51 UTC

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Pure schadenfreude.

2026-02-09 11:36:09 UTC

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Anyone who's becoming profitable..

2026-02-09 11:35:14 UTC

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WWI*

2026-02-09 11:22:00 UTC

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Do these people hate because they're broke or are broke because they hate?

2026-02-09 11:15:40 UTC

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Should it be considered propaganda if its purpose is to assist the creation have a new state or revitalization of a previous one?

2026-02-09 11:06:30 UTC

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#nevent1q…4pmz

2026-02-09 10:49:48 UTC

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The moon landings

2026-02-09 10:48:02 UTC

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I hope this isn't the modern version of 9/11 moment. Ready made excuses for the next thirty years of continuous tyrannical government overreach.

2026-02-09 00:31:13 UTC

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..... Because central banking exist.

2026-02-09 00:29:28 UTC

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We can't really know in modern times what capitalism would look like. As long as the central banks exist all incentives are flipped, creative destruction is negated through lobbies and cheap interest rates. Minimizing the quality of the population.
I would imagine without the previous 100 years of central banking the attention grabbing noise would not be so prevalent. It's kind of an easy consumable media, for a stressed population.
The opposite would be true for the alternative. Difficult topics long forum media for a population with time to invest.

2026-02-08 23:13:11 UTC

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Always has been, this is why so much of it is free like bloomberg live streaming 24/7.

2026-02-08 22:53:53 UTC

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looks to me like you get stopped out unless you were going for <3R

2026-02-08 22:36:40 UTC

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Everything is a trade if you like it or not.

2026-02-08 15:27:13 UTC

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But if you look at his actions not his words the positioning never hurts bitcoin. I get the sense he's been on board for very long time.

2026-02-08 14:58:09 UTC

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Best strategy, buy when Strategy doesn't.

2026-02-08 11:40:04 UTC

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Have you ever externalized a cognitive load using a pen and paper? Did this technology increased dementia? Or were you able to allocate more human compute to refined higher problems?

2026-02-07 17:16:15 UTC

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Time

2026-02-07 13:30:22 UTC

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Anything that increases the individuals agency = good.
Anything that decreases the individuals agency = evil.
This definition also works well with the statement, you cannot be a good person unless you have the ability to be evil and choose not to.
You cannot be forced to do good but you can be forced to do evil. Often enforced through viral coercive political structures for example, large democracies, communism on any scale and organized religions...(Collectivism)
If we define logos as and emergent layer from a complex system of interactions neither good or bad.
Then once humans evolved the ability to create money the logos changed to what it is today, the most stable state for us is cooperation through trade as we all benefit from the productivity gains this creates. So yes maybe, I might say the modern human logos is inherently good.
We seem to be unique in the universe, which means our highest possible goal should be to protect and perpetuate life. Logically the best way of achieving this goal is to do good which maximizes productivity reducing risk as we gain more agency as a species.
Both order and chaos can be good or evil. I would say emergent order is typically good where emergent chaos could be evil......
Order emerging from a chaotic system = Good,
Chaos emerging from a ordered system = Evil

2026-02-07 12:33:15 UTC

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Such a ENTJ thing to say

2026-02-07 11:45:29 UTC

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where does this capitalism exist?

2026-02-07 11:37:19 UTC

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Something like bip110 could mark the bottom.

2026-02-07 00:12:52 UTC

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what percentage of the market cap is KYCed? More then %51?

2026-02-07 00:10:50 UTC

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KYC = Control

2026-02-06 22:30:48 UTC

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Gold but also have to fall

2026-02-06 22:02:27 UTC

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Especially in his field. It's all big data sets. only on the margins do you see the need for critical thinking. Of all the sciences astronomy probably the most affected by aI.

2026-02-06 21:58:10 UTC

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Just looks like one big liquidity trap. This entire cycle. It's been very easy to get long. If big players wanted to enter in scale this is how it would have to look. Dump on week etf paper coin buyers, they become the entry liquidity.
Also very curious there is so much bad news coming out at the same time near the highs. Worst of all strategy stating they want to take a more active role in bitcoin development.

2026-02-06 21:52:36 UTC

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It would be late bear market not for some time. Has to slow down first lose momentum, drift down then do one last strong push get rejected.... Then go sideways and get boring.

2026-02-06 19:40:41 UTC

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But that last %10 is where the magic happens..

2026-02-06 17:13:07 UTC

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#kyc

2026-02-06 12:03:23 UTC

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Volume can't be trusted now more than ever.

2026-02-06 11:59:36 UTC

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Exactly, and the way this cycle has just been a slow climb easy to build large positions, one big liquidity grab.

2026-02-06 11:51:55 UTC

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With every success in quantum computing they become one step closer to a digital computer. Eventually they will merge and we will be left with digital computers. Then the pump and dump will be over.

2026-02-06 11:44:10 UTC

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Well done.

2026-02-06 11:39:10 UTC

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Maybe australia is trying to save the internet from over centralization.

2026-02-06 11:32:38 UTC

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All of the big organized religions behave the same way including democracy.

2026-02-06 11:23:13 UTC

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Just because people profit from saying quantum computing is a threat doesn't make it a threat.

2026-02-06 11:20:51 UTC

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Security threats as defined by them...

2026-02-06 11:18:26 UTC

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maybe geography?

2026-02-06 00:49:12 UTC

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‼️ Dutch authorities just seized one Windscribe VPN server without a warrant, claiming they'll return it after they "fully analyze it."
They say their real concern "is the unredacted Epstein files we had on there..."
https://media.infosec.exchange/infosec.exchange/media_attachments/files/116/020/821/121/627/915/original/08308233d455cf6d.png

2026-02-06 00:40:12 UTC

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43000 final target..

2026-02-06 00:16:49 UTC

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"This is my bitcoin now"

2026-02-05 18:53:45 UTC

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I would say 43000 bottom, the sounds about right.

2026-02-05 18:28:11 UTC

Remember high momentum lows are almost never the low.

2026-02-05 11:58:52 UTC

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Isn't this an old video you posted before?

2026-02-05 11:58:13 UTC

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Define "Smart"

2026-02-05 11:35:51 UTC

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That's not true leverage is how you control your risk. Governments loved to push the anti leverage narrative so they can protect us from ourselves but effectively if the exchange is not allowed to offer leverage we are forced to expose a higher percentage of value to counterparty risk in order to control your risk percentage.

2026-02-05 11:30:16 UTC

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There isn't any reduction in the price data that can give more edge. Those indicators are just getting in the way. All we have is the price even volume is fake. Naked chart plus five to seven years learning how to read in context. Even then as long as your position size correctly the coin flip is profitable.
Remember price only represents everyone's prediction whether they think it's going up or down.

2026-02-05 10:53:29 UTC

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Not his coins = not his liquidation price

2026-02-05 10:51:20 UTC

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Centralize systems work better for confined environments?

2026-02-05 10:31:11 UTC

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2030 btc node requirement?

2026-02-05 10:16:31 UTC

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I hope many of the europeans will get their unrealized capital loss tax credits checks...

2026-02-05 10:09:17 UTC

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Leverage allows you to keep a minimum amount of counterparty risk exposure to the exchange.
Typically long term on bitcoin funding rates pay the shorts i've seen strategies that take advantage of this.
Also there's no such thing as too much leverage* there's only math and what you're willing to risk per trade plus counterparty risk. What risk percentage do you use fixed or maybe some modified kelly?

2026-02-04 11:17:04 UTC

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If there's a similar effect in humans does this mean we may adapt, over producing testosterone to compensate? Expertly if the herbicides are turned off? System trying to fix itself?

2026-02-04 10:00:05 UTC

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Getting close to it's highest value use case.

2026-02-04 00:49:19 UTC

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The funding rates make this a little more complicated.

2026-02-03 11:20:23 UTC

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Small business idea...
Pizza vending machine street side, only accepts bitcoin.
Or make a deal with local farmers that operate vegetable vending machine storefronts, so that people can pay using bitcoin and you take a small setup management marketing fee.

2026-02-03 11:13:34 UTC

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France could unlock many jobs that are currently unprofitable for businesses to fill because of regulation.
Problem is if they reduce regulations regulations the unions protest for "worker protections".
I guess they are right, if there is no job there's no worker that can be harmed.
If the EU does not break up soon this gets very dangerous. When they find a convenient "enemy" and fix the job problem through mandatory inflationary military service.

2026-02-02 17:18:58 UTC

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Bread and circuses with extra steps.

2026-02-02 12:49:52 UTC

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It would be good to see the early etf buyers get tested.

2026-02-02 11:55:01 UTC

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If you hold bitcoin, it will put more pressure on tax season. People may have to sell if they live in these jurisdictions in order to pay taxes. Also sets a dangerous precedent.

2026-02-02 11:48:41 UTC

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What software is that? Sierra chart?

2026-02-01 18:27:57 UTC

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These are the kind of solutions from people who don't one to what fix the system but change the players.

2026-02-01 18:26:30 UTC

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Tax on accumulated wealth? How can you be into bitcoin and posting this kind of content? Inflation consolidates wealth... its a negative feedback loop, after inflation everything is downstream.

2026-01-31 22:31:42 UTC

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how can it be profitable and how will they dissipate the heat?

2026-01-31 22:05:01 UTC

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offensive militaries are just evil?

2026-01-31 21:47:26 UTC

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The framing is always such that "they deserve more funding."

2026-01-31 14:34:23 UTC

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Is that the deepest level?

2026-01-31 11:18:01 UTC

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Why we're micro sd cards removed from phones again?

2026-01-31 03:03:10 UTC

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https://inv.nadeko.net/
You could try this through a browser.

2026-01-31 02:58:49 UTC

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Bot

2026-01-31 02:52:52 UTC

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Yes but it doesn't really make sense applying statistics like this, markets actively seek out these situations.
Sure it is 10 sigma also not surprising at the same time.

2026-01-30 23:30:56 UTC

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Just look at their actions, no need for files.

2026-01-30 23:15:24 UTC

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Is this why the gold top is in?

2026-01-30 18:29:43 UTC

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One contrary suffering by becoming more socialist well the other benefits by shifting towards a free market? Collectivism is good?

2026-01-30 13:07:42 UTC

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Do you believe this?

2026-01-30 12:57:32 UTC

Has anyone used the Blockstream satellites?
#asknostr

2026-01-30 12:51:08 UTC

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who was flying at the time?

2026-01-30 10:26:08 UTC

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Leverage is for position sizing in order to control risk percentage and that you're not fully exposed to counterparty risk on the exchange.
When the state protects us by regulating how much leverage we can use, for your safety, it actually forcibly exposes us too much more risk.