joeruelle
Joe Ruelle

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Last Notes

2026-02-05 20:01:42 UTC

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The cause *is* communal.

2026-02-05 13:42:15 UTC

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not long from now that'll be fresh water

2026-02-02 05:58:08 UTC

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@nprofile…zjkj He's right, I checked, this is not a Wendy's.

2026-01-31 17:21:54 UTC

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It's churn. The problem with getting more than 1% of bitcoiners using nostr is that a huge chunk of these potential users have already churned through nostr. The nostr churn rate is insanely high, for non-bitcoiners, but for bitcoiners too. A big chunk of the bitcoin community on X has given it a kick of the tires. Zooming out, hundreds of thousands of bitcoiners may have churned through already. So now you have to get them all back a second time, or a third time, it's almost impossible, usually you only get one shot with this, they don't come back for a second kick of the tires.

2026-01-31 16:09:26 UTC

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Bitcoin is killing nostr by making it unmarketable. The 99.x% churn rate is because of bitcoin more than any other factor. Newcomers are like "oh this is a bitcoin thing" and then they leave. Because they're not bitcoin people and never will be.
Nostr should never have made a faustian bargain with bitcoin.
If there is a nostr 2.0, it should not bake in bitcoin again.

2026-01-31 15:30:00 UTC

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The problem is nostr made a faustian bargain with bitcoin. That makes it essentially unmarketable to the masses.

2026-01-31 13:35:47 UTC

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"Bring them on"
They are not lining up to be brought on, that's kind of the whole point of the OP.

2026-01-30 20:46:48 UTC

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What sign of the apocalypse is this?
https://blossom.primal.net/5dfc23e9ece84a872a69c8360e7ff44ac8b47c7e14576c90b7b17cb3b8f82017.png

2026-01-29 02:47:00 UTC

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You don't have users, man. None of this AI has solved the one problem you need solving more than any other problem: users.

2026-01-26 09:56:35 UTC

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Nostr 1.0 is not the way. Close to every sys-admin at every major company right now has an order from above to get this "quantum migration stuff" done based on NIST depreciation timelines, and you're talking about evangelising Nostr, a protocol that has zero backwards compatibility if made quantum-secure? A pure burn and start again play?
I keep saying, there needs to be a 2.0, Nostr 1.0 is a good start but we need to let go.

2026-01-23 21:35:59 UTC

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Sure, but if it ends up on Primal's relay then Meta can sue Primal and will easily win. Especially if a Primal employee is behind it. No fair use defence there. Or just tell Apple and Apple will remove Primal for not having the appropriate systemic moderation tools.
This will not happen because all of Nostr is far too small for most on the Meta legal team to have even heard of what Nostr is, let alone Primal.
Still though, not a good idea. People need to start again.

2026-01-23 16:29:20 UTC

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Nah, it's flat out Napster 2.0.
Instagram owns the data, as per their terms. It's up to Meta not the user.
Better to encourage people to just start again.

2026-01-23 09:47:51 UTC

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Dude this is so illegal, good energy but please, yo, let's grow legally. Or mostly legally!

2026-01-23 09:46:21 UTC

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This is cool but so illegal.

2026-01-23 07:06:13 UTC

Raiden was designed to have the same theoretical throughput as the Lightning Network, via the same essential design. It's useful to look at Raiden's fate to understand some of the challenges facing Lightning, what's different, what's not.

2026-01-23 04:32:59 UTC

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loyal users are the new gold. there will be so many apps without loyal users, that even a few loyal users will put an app in the 1%.

2026-01-22 18:29:31 UTC

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Adoption AND retention https://image.nostr.build/b73300094e9782198aefb2d03cb6ce42e136172f36288ae5ffead65afde61723.png

2026-01-22 14:36:41 UTC

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Exactly, that ship has sailed.

2026-01-21 14:23:11 UTC

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fully-public kanban is wild
how did sheetstr attempt privacy? or did it?

2026-01-20 17:43:43 UTC

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just depends when. if you'd exchanged all your sats 10 years ago for ETH, as of today you'd have 15x more money than if you didn't do that. so you'd have won.

2026-01-20 14:32:10 UTC

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translation: no shame in taking their joke money seriously.

2026-01-20 11:09:12 UTC

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Maybe not de jure, but you're definitely a de-facto dev.

2026-01-20 09:54:20 UTC

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>that those things are the unit of the Nostr ecosystem, and that that is why you can use various apps to interface with those units
I don't think this is contrary to what normies think about how platforms work because they don't think about how platforms work. Just like they don't think about how their car engine pistons work. If you tell 100 normies, hey, these little JSON units here, these are how instagram posts work in the background, 99 would go okay sure and believe you. This is not a ahah moment to a normie, this is just someone saying here's how a thing works, and the normie thinking well I guess that's how all such things work. They've never really formed ingrained thoughts at all.
And then you next have to explain that this is in fact NOT how it works for Instagram, and explain what a database is, and yada yada.
Normies are just not on this level. All you'll do is become the nerdy car guy explaining to the wrong crowd why dual overhead cams are better.

2026-01-20 09:17:57 UTC

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Nostr JSON is extremely complicated, in wide angle. Devs often have comically little understanding of how the world looks to non devs, it's become a meme, and you're proving out the meme a little here.
Just to understand what a signature is, that a very big thing to normies. Try explain how public key cryptography works to someone who's never every consider what it is and what it does. And then explain what a hash is after that.
Without that it's a just a meaningless little markup file.
Devs will often give up and say "okay all you need to know is it's a kind of digital signature" and other mush that just makes it worse and not better, since cryptographic signatures are not at all analogous to real-world signatures, and since cryptographic keys are also not at all analogous to real world keys. And anyway keys don't even sign things in the real world, keys open things.

2026-01-20 08:39:59 UTC

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It took 1,400 years to get from where monks began writing in serious numbers to mass literacy.
And it took the past 200 years to get from 10% literacy to mass.
You are not getting any serious chunk of the normie internet population to "have a look at the JSON" on any non-comical timeframe, and most likely never.

2026-01-20 05:30:57 UTC

"have a look at the JSON for a bit"
Suggestions by devs on how normies can improve their nostr experience, leading to less churn overall.
(Normie: "Who's this Jason and what is he posting?")
#nevent1q…yscs

2026-01-19 14:51:32 UTC

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>The dual-function of chat + browser with nostr login support is a vision you can only understand by seeing it for yourself.
Or just by living in Asia.

2026-01-18 08:30:12 UTC

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>Big tech has no moat.
Pretty sure Nvidia has no issues with this option.

2026-01-18 04:56:08 UTC

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Like if a 6s clip goes viral and gets 100k views that's say 2 or 3 TB served, and in a sort period of time. (Proving transcoding of proven video is another issue I'm curious how you'd tackle). My guess is this media.divine.video is going to be pretty heavily subsidised for a while, and that's cool, but it would be good to see transparent costs and projections for the infra behind that.

2026-01-18 02:33:54 UTC

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But what about the cloud costs for the CDN, storage, etc.? The idea is each user covers their own costs?
And relay costs too, but to a much smaller degree.
Or is the idea to bootstrap growth by offering subsidies options to start?

2026-01-17 14:05:28 UTC

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I meant costs for all the media serving and storage, and cloud infra in general.
I agree with you the proving part is a bit wobbly in terms of messaging, but not so much for the fact the app was heavily vibed. More because the max-proof certification relies absolutely on Apple and Google's servers. You could easily call that an advertisement for the benefits of centralisation.
Normally that's fine, centralisation does have benefits, and when apps are honest about it then good.
What irks me is this screw you apple/thank you apple love-hate thing.

2026-01-17 12:15:29 UTC

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That is fair. The bigger question I think is how much is this going to cost users? Since they'll be shouldering the infra costs at the end of the day.

2026-01-14 10:23:04 UTC

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It certainly is an echo chamber here.
Who needs users when you've got ~*TeCHnOloGy*~

2026-01-12 17:31:36 UTC

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People have been trying it out, the problem is churn. People come, they think "oh dear" and they leave. A ridiculously high churn rate just means the more than come the more that leave.

2026-01-11 07:50:30 UTC

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That's one word for every daily active user on nostr.

2026-01-09 07:58:47 UTC

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noster, nostra, nostrum would all be good.
but nostr feels like cheeky startup hide the vowel games, circa 1999

2026-01-08 16:41:30 UTC

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There are just so few people here, that's what it boils down to.
If your entire job was reposting content and getting sneaky zaps in this way you'd still not even be earning minimum wage. Not even close.

2026-01-08 12:23:29 UTC

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He's got significant proven oil reserves of his own.

2026-01-08 12:11:35 UTC

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Also nostr is not such a great name for mass branding. It sounds stuck in the time of "look at me I'm so cool with my missing penultimate vowel", like Flickr or Tumblr.
Plus half the users pronounce it one way and the other half another.

2026-01-08 08:30:32 UTC

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Bitcoin is for everyone. Terms and conditions apply.

2026-01-07 19:30:12 UTC

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The problem for me is the scale of the subsidies. As far as I can tell, it's over $1m per month going in, perhaps well over. And for a user based with under 10k daily actives (going by npub.world). That's $100 per daily active per month, or thereabouts.
If it was a little bit of help here and there then I'd be fine with it, but this is something else entirely, these are Saudi Arabia ratios.
I think small businesses running clients for profit is fine and good, just as it's fine and good to have small businesses running bakeries and bars. One good thing about nostr is that it potentially enables small businesses to take part in an industry previously reserved for corporations. But like any small business they still have to function as *actual business* for the whole thing to work. That hasn't been proven out.

2026-01-07 19:08:31 UTC

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You could argue that I suppose, but then who is doing the subsidising? For a real town square it's still the townspeople paying, it's still their tax contributions. For nostr the current user base is not covering any significant part of the costs of providing what it is consuming, in any way, roundabout or direct. The whole thing is run on a Deus ex machina plot device.
If you're not paying for your use then you are the product, always and forever. At the moment most people on nostr are not paying for their use and therefore ARE the product. The only question is to whom are they selling themselves.
The answer is they are selling themselves to a relatively small group of people looking to make a certain mark on the world, to leave a certain legacy. If enough in this small group give up this quest (this can be a mercurial sphere) then they will be left with nobody to sell themselves to.

2026-01-07 13:13:30 UTC

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maybe the square itself, but you certainly want the cafes, bars and bakeries in that square to be real businesses, earning enough from sales to pay their staff, pay the rent, and eek out a small profit.
a town square where every cafe, bar and bakery is free of charge for everyone and being subsidised to the tune of millions by certain benevolent groups sounds a little not-quite-right no?

2026-01-07 12:31:37 UTC

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what we need is stuff that people will pay for.
these high quality social media clients all run at a loss (sans grants or VC runway)
the weird stuff also runs at a loss.
we need stuff that can enough people will pay enough money to use to cover the salaries of a dev team and maybe also return a small profit to blow on the christmas party

2026-01-06 17:00:17 UTC

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It is, it's against 2.5.4 specifically. We've had idle games taken down using this trick to keep the idle stuff going. You'll get an email one day with some bland reason along the lines of "Your app declares support for background audio but does not provide actual listening content to the user".
Basically you're living update to update.

2026-01-04 07:15:49 UTC

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A lot of Shakespeare seems to be doing stuff that lots of other things already do. The secret sauce is supposed to be nostr. Somehow.

2026-01-04 05:50:51 UTC

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Man kind1 land is really shrinking. In days gone by a post like this would have had at least a few comments by now.
Now it's like wait an hour or two and maybe get one.

2026-01-03 19:14:36 UTC

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30% in sounds about right.

2026-01-03 17:47:12 UTC

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Don't be silly about it though. Y'all can't pay your suppliers in bitcoin, if you go all in on bitcoin and then the value of bitcoin plummets versus what your suppliers will take then you're in a pickle. Sure it can go up to, but if the business is quarter by quarter, year by year, then this is just playing the slot machine.

2025-12-31 22:04:50 UTC

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This assumes everyone is Kanye. The vast majority of people who do delete a post on X, their posts were never screenshotted, often never even read. Perhaps they just felt embarrassed after a few minutes of cooling down, or noticed a grammar error, or wanted to rephrase things. And even for posts that have been up for a while, often it's just them tidying up, and again, nobody will have cared to screenshot those posts before they deleted them.

2025-12-30 20:19:36 UTC

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The Japanese-speaking community on nostr is the best community here, they don't talk about the same boring stuff as the english-speaking community.
But I was responding to the note in English about the petition. They are not going to be reading that note (well I'm guessing most aren't). I think they stick to themselves pretty much. Power to them.

2025-12-30 16:44:10 UTC

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Well yeah. I'd say this methodology filters out a lot of the bots, but certainly not all. If you account for remaining bots, and remove Japanese and other more isolated groups, this is a very small bubble.
https://image.nostr.build/f879c17b49b4905756d026e7c53b2116a0267ed9e4f613e4867a30c7c973289b.png

2025-12-30 12:20:09 UTC

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Jack invested like in late 2022 so 3 years ago, and I think that was when nostr was 2 years old already and had indie traction.
Pablo could get a lot of money for the highlighter.com domain, he should sell that and pull a MySpace Tom.
To be fair, there are a lot of good ideas in nostr, I think in the end the basic signed-event concept will spread. This kind1 bubble-world is kinda dying though.

2025-12-30 12:00:29 UTC

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To shir shit up and pass the time while I wait for stuff to render.
Nobody stirs shit up here, it's all LFG and GM, very boring.
Someone's gotta make an effort.

2025-12-30 11:53:43 UTC

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Time preference in context of sustained negative growth is meaningless.
Nostr is fading, numbers are at their lowest in 3 or 4 years, and continue to steadily decline. Unless something changes, increase the "time preference" and the numbers just go down even further, nostr just fades out even more.

2025-12-30 10:42:42 UTC

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Yes but nostr is fading over time. User numbers are at their lowest in 3.5 years, content is getting sparser and sparser.
The long-term project thesis only works if numbers are going up, even gradually. If numbers are going down then if you extend the term they just go down further!

2025-12-30 10:39:50 UTC

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Makes sense. There are so few people here. You could literally fit the whole daily-active English-speaking Kind1 community into a church. And if it was one of those mega-churches then you'd still have lots of empty seats.

2025-12-30 08:52:06 UTC

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As far as I can see there is no giant fiat scam. It's one of things where "it is what it is".
Supposedly inflation has gone on a rampage from1950 to 2025, wages not keeping up, etc. Okay but what does that actually mean in terms of everyday life?
In 1950, someone on minimum wage would have had to have worked far more hours to afford a television, a flight across the country, a pair of glasses, a whole chicken, etc., versus someone in 2025.
You can make an opposite list too (more work time now).
There is no scam that I can see. The only measure is "hours worked to afford the things that are important to me". For some people that'll be going up over time, but for many others that'll be going down.

2025-12-29 20:02:14 UTC

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I agree in general. Orwell I would say seemed a pretty decent guy as far as it goes, and I've no problem with forgiving people for saying stupid things, I agree with you we need much more of that.
But there is a line. Has to be. Timothy C. May was just completely bonkers unhinged, and Chomsky, being fully aware of the underage girls, I mean come on.

2025-12-29 19:24:15 UTC

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Not saying dismiss their ideas. Just find other, better people who have articulated the same ideas and go with their articulation instead.
Yeah everyone's got skeletons, but you can kinda intuit who is really terrible behind closed doors and who is just minimally terrible.

2025-12-29 19:00:49 UTC

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Such a thing as foresight too.
Many a trader has used a little bit of it to do better than stubborn holders.

2025-12-29 17:28:03 UTC

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Some people say you should treat the ideas as having emerged from some platonic space and it doesn't matter who went into that space and plucked them out, you should judge the ideas on their merit alone.
I think the opposite, Timothy C May and Noam Chomsky both sound like total douchebags in real life, I'm happy to ignore anything they've said based solely on the fact that they seem like total douchebags. Other people who don't seem to be total douchebags have put the same general ideas in other words, I'm happy to take their phrasing instead.

2025-12-29 16:42:46 UTC

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"Jeffery Epstein, my friend, you are the man!"
― also Noam Chomsky

2025-12-29 16:11:46 UTC

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I don't understand this loyalty to just one thing.
If you sold your bitcoin earlier in the year, bought silver, and then the other day sold your silver and bought back bitcoin then now you've got much MORE BITCOIN than if you'd just held.
Same as if you had 100 bitcoin ten years ago, sold them all and bought ETH, then today, ten years later, sold your ETH and bought back bitcoin, you'd have MORE (lots, lots more).
Trading is the way.
Ideologically-driven bear-hugging of any one instrument is just silly.

2025-12-28 21:45:37 UTC

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It's so utterly fragile though.
Feels like 3 or 4 years of hardening is needed.

2025-12-28 21:02:09 UTC

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I'm glad I'm not a bot. Seriously though, it's raw physics when you break it down.
I’ve heard a lot of this “in theory nostr will scale horizontally forever” but, having worked in gaming with hundreds of thousands of concurrents this is the equivalent of “in theory if all the cars start moving right when the light turns green then there won’t be a delay for the cars further back”. Yeah in theory that's true.
Put another way, relying on “naturally occurring” load balancing is about as ambitious as doing away with airplane tickets and just having everyone come to the airport to try to board planes like they’re public busses.
Relays will only scale horizontally in mythical-world conditions that will never happen in the actual world. This is a mythical world where everyone and their sister is running a relay (an impossible relay:user ratio), where everyone adds just the right combination of relays so when one is maxed out vertically it falls back to another that isn’t maxed out (and that isn’t everyone else’s fallback), where high-horsepower relays (whatever distributed SQL monsters) just happen to be scattered around to just the very right places, where nothing on nostr requires ultra-low latency (waiting for the straggler relays), where no one single person has a reason to subscribe to events from more than a couple hundred others, and so on.
And that's just the relays, when you get to the blossom servers, CDNs, etc., and then the interplay between the relay side and the media side, it's just blood out of both nostrils.
If you've scaled anything then you can see from a mile away that nostr will not scale. You need centrally-orchestrated load balancing and a hundred other things akin to a human central nervous system.

2025-12-28 18:58:28 UTC

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Exhibit B #nevent1q…0t4p

2025-12-28 18:12:05 UTC

Hot take: inflation doesn't really mean anything.
50 years ago, if you wanted the following:
-1 flight Los Angelus to New York
-1 basic television
-100 large pizzas
-100 litres of coke
You'd have had to work twice as many hours as today. That's certainly not inflation in terms of hours worked. But you could easily make a list of things for which you'd have worked far fewer hours for 50 years ago.
It depends what you value. If you just want to live in a van, watch TV, eat pizza drink coke and fly around the country then you haven't been affected by inflation at all, quite the opposite. But if you want a house in a trendy part of the city then you have been affected a lot.
Inflation only means something in context of hours worked and personal priorities.

2025-12-28 14:36:12 UTC

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Many things like that here. Look here, where nostr belatedly discovers ngrok.
In short, this NWS thing was where a so-called “entry node" captures some web traffic, wraps it into an encrypted Nostr event which is then sent to a relay that holds it until an “exit node” fetches it, decrypts the event, sends it to the local web server, and then sends the response back through the relay the same way.
It, err, didn't take off.
So many things like this.
#nevent1q…sejz

2025-12-28 07:49:25 UTC

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There is nothing special in nostr relays is the exact problem. You need something special to scale.
Relays physically cannot scale vertically, even strfry, which I'll be the first agree is tight c++ code, will max out before it supports anything at scale just due to write limits. You'll always hit a write wall on the database, and no code will remove that wall for you.
Relays cannot scale horizontally either (to millions) due to coordination issues, latency issues (especially tail latency), the backplane limit, state bloat quicksand, and also just vertical maxing out of individual relays in the horizontal plane. Again no code will fix this, you're bumping up against hardware and the laws of physics.

2025-12-28 07:33:31 UTC

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Experience at teenly tiny scales tells you nothing about experience at actual scale.
This divine video things is a good example. I quote:
"The app has lots of bugs, and we need appstore approval, but at the moment the biggest problem I have is relays... i started using nosflare by @Luxas which worked pretty good when we had dozens of users but has had scaling issues and has been hard to debug... So then we tried using the ditto relay by @Alex Gleason and put a bunch of really beefy servers behind it. Even then it's struggling to keep up. The thing is, we're pre-launch, we have 10k users in testflight and a mostly read only site at divine.video which is a react app."
Only 10k users in test flight and the guy can't find a single relay that'll handle it. Or maybe all these test flights users were just "holding it wrong".
So many things on nostr will collapse at scale.

2025-12-27 15:54:49 UTC

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It's not. There are only so many human minds with the means to affect the price. And in the last few years the deeper concept of bitcoin has reached pretty much all of them. Before moving the bitcoin price was mostly about introducing bitcoin to new minds with the means to affect the price. Now you don't have many of those new minds left. Now, moving the price is about un-hardening already hardened opinions, old minds, a much harder task.
People forget that the price of bitcoin comes down to the personal opinions of a fixed number of people. The price of any money does.

2025-12-27 14:05:42 UTC

Anyone trying to encourage people who create good content to cross post to nostr under the notion that "it doesn't take much effort to cross post" is just utterly removed from the world of online authorship.

2025-12-27 10:41:06 UTC

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"It's all in your head" describes all money, ever. Including fiat, crypto and gold in this sitting in a vault sense.
The idea that you can have some form of money that is somehow "more rational" ignores what money actually is.

2025-12-27 09:51:14 UTC

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I think honestly nostr is fading away. I suspect most people here can feel that. The numbers certainly reflect it.
But it shows how a free-floating singed-event based architecture can work, so that's a win.

2025-12-27 08:20:15 UTC

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The human species didn't have privacy for 99% of its existence. We lived in small groups, most being foraging bands of 20–50 people. Everyone knew absolutely everything about everyone else.
I guess nobody was free until after the agricultural revolution then. Shucks.

2025-12-26 22:10:58 UTC

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Sometime in the next10 years (or whenever) bitcoin is going to be forked where the fork becomes the new bitcoin, that's for quantum. That’ll once again demonstrate that nothing about bitcoin is “locked in”. It's software that gets updates, that's what it is.
It's not whether you or I would get behind a fork with a different number coins, it's whether such a fork could happen before all the coins are mined. If it could happen, even in circumstances we'd find hard to imagine in 2025, even 50 years from now, then it's just not a hard limit.

2025-12-26 21:13:01 UTC

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The point dude was making about bitcoin is correct. It is inflation, and "we're kind of planning to stop at 21 million" doesn't magically change "creating" into "revealing".

2025-12-26 20:42:19 UTC

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You could say that about anything. Everything has a total number that will ever exist, even raindrops, it's just a question of whether we know what the total is or not.
In fact I'm looking at a number of raindrops that just got "released from the total supply" outside my window right now.
And as you point out a hard fork could change Bitcoin so we don't even REALLY know the total number there either. Nobody has a time machine.

2025-12-24 11:39:55 UTC

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nostr has been losing users for quite some time now.
going by that, roads are leading from nostr to outside, not from outside to nostr.

2025-12-22 19:57:37 UTC

Nostr in a nutshell.
#nevent1q…jm8n

2025-12-22 17:57:13 UTC

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And governments, in all their power, are supposed to be like, oh well, those nerds have "freedom tech" now, they win, shucks, we gave it our best but they out-coded us!

2025-12-22 14:39:19 UTC

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Ray Dalio has been warning about anything you can think of for years. If tomorrow there's an invasion of purple-eyed lizard people from Venus, chances are Ray Dalio warned about that too.

2025-12-22 10:18:40 UTC

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>The people on here ...
Okay but that's like 7 people.

2025-12-21 23:34:48 UTC

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Yup. Like Cafelog, it sputtered out but Matt Mullenweg and Mike Little saw the potential, what could be fixed, hard forked it we got WordPress.
Cafelog had all the foundations, real novel stuff. But you needed a bunch of PHP/MySQL skills to boot it up, UI was functional but cluttered and developer-focused, etc. Nostr feels like a modern-day Cafelog. And it's not going to be WordPress without a hard fork.

2025-12-21 22:16:42 UTC

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Maybe, but Threads didn't exist when nostr was formed, and now they have 150m daily actives and 400m monthly actives. These are all people for whom Threads is a new start, so I can't imagine a great U-turn. Same goes for Bluesky.
Mass migrations *have* been happening, Nostr just hasn't be siphoning people off. In all likelihood the way forward for Nostr is a reboot, enough lessons have been learned to launch a new Nostr that doesn't suffer from the things keeping this current Nostr back.

2025-12-21 20:12:34 UTC

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If anything these past 3 years have been a golden period in terms of the outside world doing things that have pushed people to change their online social habits . Many moved platforms, but they ended up on Bluesky, and above all on Threads, which has done incredibly well this year.
Threads has done so well because it's soft, it's light, it's not topical, not "daily". Life is hard-edged as it is. What the biggest crowds were running from, it turned out, was the even harder edge of online life, and over on Threads there they found a lot of pillows and blankets.

2025-12-21 16:20:23 UTC

Nostr is what would happen if you asked a bunch of developers what non-developers might enjoy in a social network, and held back your giggles during the answer, and then said, maintaining a perfectly straight face, ”Yes, work with that”.

2025-12-21 09:13:15 UTC

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Not only churn, but the whole network is shirking, now smaller than 3 years ago. People come, see a bunch of (in their minds) bitcoin crap, leave.
People who are okay with bitcoin stuff stay, but then get bored of the relative nature of it, leave also
Bitcoin is killing nostr.

2025-12-21 09:07:54 UTC

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Cold start problem. People do not post content to where their audience is not. Why would they? Content follows audience, not the other way around.

2025-12-20 20:46:31 UTC

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Palantir when? I considered silver and didn't buy, hence the regret. As for stocks, if I'd have considered Palantir and it did as well as sliver during that time (or better) then I'd regret that too. That goes for whatever else you want to pull from the S&P.

2025-12-20 16:56:57 UTC

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you're being a fool and investing your hard-earned money all in one place based on some weird combination of ideology, friendship and magic-show hypnosis.
this isn't 2009. bitcoin's puberty is over. its teenager height now. lots of things will grow faster than bitcoin in 2026. as happened in 2025. (heck even the S&P 500 grew 20% faster in 2025.) keep some of your money in bitcoin but spread the rest around. trade a little. and cash out back to bitcoin when it makes sense.
humans have been trading since the beginning of time for a reason.

2025-12-20 16:18:38 UTC

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>Influencers draw attention by posting things that sound like advice or deep life insights
[proceeds to post things that sound like advice or deep life insights]

2025-12-20 16:02:53 UTC

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Don't pretend like if you could go back in time 10 years with $1,000 you'd buy Bitcoin and not Ethereum (butterfly effect disabled). Of course you'd buy Ethereum, and then you'd jump back forward in time and sell it for Bitcoin.
And if you had a crystal ball and knew 100% for sure that say, whatever, I dunno, titanium, was going to rise in value versus bitcoin over the next 5 years, you'd sell all your bitcoin and buy titanium.
If not then what are you thinking? That it makes you somehow moral to end up with less bitcoin but to have held it all along?

2025-12-20 15:35:13 UTC

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This just sounds like a religion or morality argument. Look the fact is that somebody who sold their bitcoin bought Ethereum and then sold back for bitcoin has way way way more bitcoin than you now.

2025-12-20 15:31:53 UTC

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I’m looking at Mickey Mouse with his 3500 or whatever bitcoin, and you with your 100 bitcoin, and you’re telling me that somehow you made the right choice because of some arbitrary definition of “savings”?
hate to break it to you but 10 years ago today bitcoin required something of a risk appetite, you can’t retroactively go back and make it some kind of well-known thing like it is today

2025-12-20 15:17:08 UTC

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Here's what I used for another oops didn't know person.
It's 10 years ago today.
Me, you and Mickey Mouse each have 100 Bitcoin.
You keep yours.
I sell mine and buy Nvida stock.
Mickey sells his and bus Eth.
This morning I sell my Nvidia and buy Bitcoin. Mickey sells his Eth and buys Bitcoin.
Guess what? We both now have more Bitcoin than you. Amazing. What happened?
If bitcoin is ~*good*~ and I have more than you now, then aren't I ~*gooder*~!
Awaiting whatever other technicality you want to fish out of your pocket.

2025-12-20 15:12:19 UTC

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Oh please. The past 10 years is a perfectly legit time period. You just had no idea that Eth and Nvidia had appreciated more than Bitcoin during it, and now you're digging deep in your pockets to find any sort of technicality to get you out.

2025-12-20 15:10:11 UTC

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you're just a fish on my troll line aren't you, look at you wiggle.
it's always easy to spot the ones that can't help themselves.

2025-12-20 12:32:46 UTC

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Like your whole life?